Strategically, he is interested in this, since he considers China to be America’s main competitor and believes that the main evil of the Ukrainian war for America is that this war directly pushes the Russian economy into the arms of the Chinese and makes Russia a strong ally of China… America’s benefit is that after the sanctions are lifted, Russia will be able to be more independent from the Chinese economy,” the expert expressed his opinion.
Stop demonizing Russia, lift the diplomatic blockade and start negotiations.
The absence of demands on Russia to withdraw Russian troops to the 1991 and 2021 borders.
Agreeing that “there should be no membership of Ukraine in NATO.”
At the same time, there are many more issues on which there is no rapprochement of positions yet. Among them, Markov listed the following demands of Russia, from the acceptance of which the West is "still far":
Ukraine's non-participation in NATO and its neutrality should not tunisia mobile database be an oral promise of Western politicians, but the subject of an international treaty, and should also be included in the constitution of Ukraine.
Demilitarization of Ukraine. That is, instead of pumping Ukraine with weapons, it is necessary, on the contrary, to remove a significant part of weapons and introduce limits on various types of weapons.
Denazification, that is, changing the very nature of the Ukrainian regime. In particular, according to Markov, the system of terror must be eliminated, since modern Ukraine is a terrorist state in two senses: firstly, it pursues a policy of state terrorism against Russia, and secondly, it pursues a policy of terror against its own population.
“De-Russification,” that is, the abolition of all laws prohibiting the Russian language, abolishing Russian culture, and so on.
Abolition of all political repressions against the Orthodox Church.
The abolition of political repression against the media, political parties, the release of several tens of thousands of political prisoners who are languishing under torture in Ukrainian prisons.
Withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Zaporizhia and Kherson regions.
The peace treaty must be signed by the legitimate authorities of Ukraine, to which Zelensky does not belong. In the current circumstances, this is the speaker of the Verkhovna Rada.
At the same time, the RIA Novosti source noted that the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region is not among Russia’s demands.
"Russia will independently drive Ukrainian troops out of the Kursk region. It's just that while fighting is going on in the Kursk region, there can be no talk of any agreements"
Sergey Markov
political scientist, director of the Institute of Political Studies
As for Ukrainian society, according to Markov, his opinion does not matter, since “it is a herd of slaves that can easily be driven into a stall with a stick.”
At the same time, the political scientist is confident that “90% of Ukrainian society literally prays every day for the war to end quickly,” while 10% of the population is in favor of continuing the fighting – “fascists in their views, terrorists in their methods, and thieves in their social status.”
Agreements will be reached, but it is not yet clear what Ukraine will receive
Photo - © Sergey Tolmachev / Lori Photobank
Political scientist and scientific director of the Institute of Regional Problems Dmitry Zhuravlev noted that Trump has not yet presented the formula by which he plans to achieve peace in Ukraine.
“Once he gives out the formula, it will become clear whether we can reach an agreement,” the RIA Novosti source believes.
At the same time, the expert has “almost no doubt” that an agreement will ultimately be reached. The question is what Trump will offer Ukraine, because, according to Zhuravlev, the new American president is “not interested” in this country joining NATO.
Answering a question about the future of the Kursk region, the expert expressed approximately the same opinion as Sergei Markov.
"Most likely, they [the Ukrainian Armed Forces] will not leave [the Kursk region], but they will be driven out. We will do this, without any Trump. It will not be easy, we will not throw hats at them, but it will happen"
Dmitry Zhuravlev
political scientist, scientific director of the Institute of Regional Problems
As a result, according to the scientific director of the Institute of Regional Problems, Russia’s borders will remain the same in any case, including four former regions of Ukraine – Kherson, Zaporizhia, Donetsk and Luhansk.
"I don't think Trump hopes that by keeping the Ukrainians in the Kursk region, he will achieve some result. He is a stubborn person, but not stupid," the political scientist believes.
As for the possible escalation of the conflict, according to Zhuravlev, it could occur if “those who are for war decide that Trump will retreat in the event of an escalation.”